Region’s Economy Continues To Strengthen

Northwest Iowa — The latest monthly survey of regional business leaders finds the region’s economy is continuing to strengthen.

Economist Ernie Goss says the overall numbers are the best since February of 2015. The business conditions index for January jumped to its highest level in six years and the employment index also bounced.

Ernie Goss
Ernie Goss

Goss says the survey showed some job additions in the manufacturing sector. He says almost one-third of the businesses reported that finding and hiring qualified workers was an issue and that still remains an issue.  The survey shows the region added manufacturing jobs at the swiftest pace since August of 2014.

Iowa’s durable goods manufacturers, including metal producers and agriculture equipment makers, continue to shed jobs, according to Goss, while nondurable goods producers are adding jobs, but at a slow pace. Goss says he sees one thing in the survey that’s particularly worrisome, a boost in inflation levels. Inflation is where prices rise and the purchasing value of money falls.

Goss says our inflation gauge was up to 74.2, up from 70.4 and its highest since April of 2014..  He says inflation at the wholesale level is ticking upward, and he says that’s problematic because the Fed could begin raising rates.

Goss says the Federal Reserve could start trying to stave off inflation by raising interest rates during this first quarter of the year, the first of several predicted rate hikes for 2017.

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